What awaits in store for Syria?

1 Sep

The US seems all the more determined to launch an attack on Syrian regime of Bashr al Assad that is reported to have used chemical weapon against the rebel, who happen to be its citizens nevertheless. One cannot simply overlook the vested interests of US and its Allies in the removal of Assad’s regime as its existence entails the possibility of expansion of Iranian influence. In a move to checkmate Iran’s allies, US must have felt flabbergasted when its long term war ally Britain decided to sit this one out.

Nevertheless, US never really had shortage of allies. It had them at its command whenever it required them to be. France has committed to the use of “limited force” against Syrian ruling leadership. US has not made it clear what kind of force would be employed under the banner of “limited force”, yet there would not be a full scale war.

This is not assuring either as the “no boots on the ground” approach does not necessarily prohibit US and its allies from supplying sophisticated weaponry to the rebels. Western news media has been screaming on top of its voice that arming the rebels may well be playing right into the hands of terrorist organizations like Al-Qaeda. If any attention is paid to the history, then US must remain wary of any such move. For it will not only tilt the balance of power in the favor of “rebels”. They may project themselves as the freedom fighters, yet these rebels do not represent the wishes of majority. Terrorists can constitute a major part of this rebel force who want to install a puppet government after the ouster of that very regime of Bashr al Assad. Upon these grounds, the rejection of proposal of helping the rebels by Beijing and Moscow becomes understandable.

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The reason foreign powers seem so concerned about Syria because what happens in Syria affects its neighbors. On its southeast border lies war-wrecked Iraq. Iraq already faces severe sectarian violence. The collapse of Syrian law and order would perforate its borders for sectarian war to seep through. On its west lies Lebanon where Hezbollah remains the arch-rival of Israel that forms the southwest of Syria. Finally in the north of Syria is Turkey. Turkey has already battled skirmishes with Syrian rebels who tried to missile the mutual borders of Turkey and Syria. If Assad is replaced by an extremist regime backed by Al-Qaeda, then the ensuing damage cannot be quantified as it directly puts Israel in existential threat. Threat to Israel would naturally involve US. Turkey shares its border with Europe. Turkey can act as a buffer zone. There is no telling the peril the world may be in if extremists taste the power in Syria.

Whatever the solution may be devised for Syria, it must not only go in tune with the wishes of the people, but it should prolong the peace in the region. It has been much too long since Middle East could feel peace within and without. The efforts of the world must not be specious. These must not elongate personal interests. Otherwise history would only bring opprobrium to those who would prefer their peace over other’s war. Can the world afford such criminality in times that seem so desperate? The heart and mind both respond with a definitive no. 

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